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Thursday 18st, September 7:21:11 Am
What is the "Spread" in Sports Betting


The NFL spread betting point spreads is also known as betting sides’ since you are picking one side to win the game acknowledges that not all teams are created equal.

If they were, we wouldn’t need NFL point spreads at all teams would be so evenly matched that every game was a toss-up or a pick em in football parlance.

Simply picking the winner would be enough of a challenge. But when you have a league with strong teams, weak teams and mediocre teams, you need to balance the books a bit. NFL point spreads and season win total props are one of the few in the major sports that are openly discussed by announcers and fans alike.

Because of betting and the popularity of fantasy football, every single game of the NFL season is important this is why it’s your turn to get in on the action with our free NFL expert picks. There’s almost an infinite way to bet on the NFL whether you’re talking about point spreads, over unders, parlay tickets, player props, daily fantasy. Betting against the spread, or ATS for short, is the most popular way to bet on NFL games and is not too difficult to understand.

The team that is favored will be listed with a negative number ie. -5 and that is the number they need to win the game by. In this example the favorite must win by 6 or more points to cover the spread and win the bet. If they win by exactly 5-points the bet is considered a push or no-bet. NFL Point spreads explained The NFL is the most wagered upon sport in North America and it's not even close.

I will spare you the grand introduction and lead you right into the mean and potatoes of this article. If you are a novice bettor who is just learning how to bet on the NFL, keep reading.

If you understand the common concepts like money line, spread and totals wagering, you can skip down to the advanced wagering options by clicking here. Get the latest NFL odds, money lines and totals. Check out real-time football odds and lines of your favorite team. Yahoo Sportsbook is a partnership between Yahoo Sports and BetMGM. Betting odds are shown throughout our product offerings. concordium.us's host of NFL experts provides expert picks, grades and analysis for each game during the season.

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What the Bouye trade means for Broncos, Jaguars. Adam Schefter breaks down the Jaguars sending cornerback A.J. Bouye to the Broncos in exchange for a fourth-round pick and what the trade means for each team. In NFL betting a point spread is used to show the underdog and the favorite in the game to balance the odds of the betting game.

In a point spread you can pick a loser of a game, but still win your bet, if the loser covers the point spread. Conversely, you can pick the winner of a game, but still lose the bet if that team did not cover the spread.

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If the Redskins are favored by points over the Cowboys the Redskins must win by 4 or more points for you to win the bet.

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Learn the basics of what an NFL point spread wager is, how the lines look and more. Other NFL Spread Betting Information. You may often notice that the spread is sometimes set at an even number such as 3, 6, 10, etc. In this case if the favored team won by the exact amount set for the spread the bet would be pushed, and all bets would be returned. The most common NFL spreads are usually set between about points, but you will also almost always have games each week with spreads lower than and higher than. Learn how to bet on the NFL point spread by taking advantage of key numbers and margin of victory metrics.

There's much more to it than simply betting on a team. Strategies For Betting NFL Point Spreads.

A common phrase heard from experienced football bettors is I don’t bet teams, I bet numbers. Picking the winning team in a football game isn’t easy. It’s even more difficult to place a winning wager on a game that involves a point spread or total. Get NFL odds, including point spreads, moneylines and overunders, from the best online sportsbooks so you always get the best lines.

A point spread allows bettors to wager on the margin of victory in an NFL game. A -3 favorite needs to win by four points or more to cover the spread. A +3 underdog needs to lose by less than three points, or win the game, to cover the spread. A minus sign indicates that team is the favorite a plus sign indicates that team is the underdog.

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NFL point spread strategy is a way to balance each team so bets are placed on the underdog. Learn about how point spreads are used today in NFL betting and where to place your point spread bets online NFL Point Spread Betting. NFL Point Spread Betting Sites. The origins of the point spread betting strategy date back to the s. FantasyData's NFL point spreads and odds page features full, compact and classic viewpoints and our members get to see historical NFL odds.

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Please consider using one of our preferred browsers to enjoy an optimal experience. To generate point spreads each week, you must compare two teams playing each other and determine the difference in their Power Ratings Win Total. For each half win of difference, you add one point to the spread.

For example Travel time and venue change has a big impact on the outcome of NFL games and markets. To create an even more accurate price, you must account for home field advantage. The general rule among bookmakers is that home field is worth three points.

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Moneyline betting, point spreads, and totals betting provide you with multiple ways to get in on the action in every game. What is Moneyline Betting in NFL? How Does Point Spread Betting in NFL Work? While moneyline betting allows you to simply wager on which team will win an individual game, regardless of the margin of victory, point spread betting adds an important layer of complexity to your NFL betting experience by allowing you to bet on a team to win, or avoid losing, but a set number of points. The NFL regular season doesn’t kick off for another four months, but you can still bet on almost any game for the upcoming season.

Navigate Features Build Betting Systems Real-Time Betting Trends Live Odds from 50+ Books Contrarian Plays, Steam. NFL point spreads are set by oddsmakers. This is the final outcome they expect one team to have over the other. For example, if the New England Patriots are squaring off against the Miami Dolphins, you may find that the spread for this game is set with New England at What this means is that oddsmakers expect New England to win by four.

If you choose Miami, you are actually getting four points, meaning that if the Patriots win, you are a winner.

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This is another way you can win with NFL betting lines.

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The point spread is the quarterback of this Big Three more NFL wagers are conducted using this method than any other. Major newspapers have listed these point spreads in their game previews since well before the internet ever came along. They’re part of our football culture. Just like the point spread, you have a number for the combined score, and you have the vigorish attached. The combined score for Super Bowl III was 23 points, so that game went Under the posted total. That includes on point spread, proposition bets and player props.

Minnesota at San Francisco -7. Check out the NFL weather reports on each game before kickoff, and note freezing temperatures in Green Bay with low 20’s expected. Kansas City will have near freezing temperatures of 34 degrees for the Chiefs - Texans game, and 99 of the money wagered on Texans QB Deshawn Watson passing yards prop is under the total.

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Sports Betting NFL Lines, Odds, Point Spreads and More.

August 9, For football betting newcomers, NFL odds, lines and point spreads might appear a bit intimidating at first. Not like looking at a horse racing program for the first time, but NFL betting odds and NFL lines don’t explain themselves. With that in mind, we’ve put together an explainer for football betting, NFL odds and lines, and much more. NFL announces deal with Caesars Entertainment as the league's first official casino partner - Smashdown Sports News Football Baseball Hockey Tennis Golf Soccer.

The 25 Best NFL Throwback Jerseys To Rock on Thanksgiving. Cleveland is a 2 point favorite over the in last preseason game.

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NFL point spreads Learn about NFL spreads and payouts, what they are, how they work, and betting tips when betting on the best NFL spreads at Bodog. Sportsbooks are also constantly trying to even out the action on both sides of a bet. It’s how we reduce the risk of exposure.

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In order to do that with a single football game that pits a dominant team against an underdog, we use NFL point spreads.

Simply put, NFL spreads use a margin of victory that the dominant team must win by. Just add that to the point spread. What if you want to calculate a team’s probability of winning? That’s pretty easy, too, although you’ll need a formula for it. For the NFL, I start by adding one point to team’s margin of victory and then take its natural logarithm.

Then I multiply that result by the K value. That means I’m more moved by big wins than narrow ones, although there are diminishing returns. Point spreads are chosen to be maximally difficult to beat, so even a success rate of 5 above a baseline would be considered a success.

It has been said by certain professional sports bettors that one should not expect more than approximately 60 accuracy in betting, so this is the figure that we will strive towards. Home Bias in the NFL Pointspread Market. Underdogs on road for consecutive week.

The are underdogs for the second week in a row. They're point underdogs in New Orleans, but the line hasn't moved the way Latest news 3 months ago shares. Favored big in divisional test vs. Point spreads were provided Latest news 4 months ago shares. NFL Week 6 picks against the spread.

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Until that point in the season, there had only been 12 double-digit spreads all season and at most two in a single week. The Patriots, and Steelers have combined for 14 Super Bowl championships. This accounts for 30 of all the Super Bowls played.

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The data on NFL regular season spreads was accessed via Sunshine Forecast whose current source is concordium.us Spreads are collected by Sunshine Forecast as close as practicable to game time.

Oldest Quarterbacks to Win a Playoff Game. Video created by for the course "Math behind Moneyball". You will learn how to rate NASCAR drivers and get an introduction to sports betting concepts such as the Money line, Props Bets, and evaluation of gambling.

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Get the latest NFL point spreads and betting odds for all of this week's games. NFL odds are some of the tightest lines in sports. Above are the latest odds from the most popular and trustworthy online sportsbooks in the industry. The betting lines that you end up choosing can make a huge difference in your bankroll. Adding just a couple of wins due to a half or full point difference in the odds could increase your profits in a big way.

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While it'll be one of the largest point spreads in NFL postseason history, though, it's not the largest. The Patriots, the top seed in the AFC and arguably the best team in the league, have drawn the J.J. Watt-less Texans, a plucky but offensively challenged opponent out of the woeful AFC South. The matchup appears to so heavily favor New England that Las Vegas has placed a 15 12-point spread on the game as of Tuesday, one of the largest in postseason history.

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The biggest favorite of the season in an individual game is the Seahawks, who are giving 14 points to San Francisco in their Week 3 game at CenturyLink Field. Based on lines for the three primetime games plus the game that will likely be the nationally televised game at p.m. ET on Sunday, the best weeks of the NFL season, in terms of point spreads for those stand-alone games should be Weeks 1, 2 and 8.

However, we’ll throw our support behind Week 1, as two.

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The point spread is what people who take bets have to offer people who make bets in order to get people to bet on the underdog. If it's a casino or sports book, the goal is to have each team get half the bets. Especially in the NFL, the most public betting sport of all, the public the Joes will often line up to bet a team, usually a favorite, and the point spread will be inflated to try to even out the money to the point that the betting experts the pros will take the other side and balance the action.

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NFL bettors have been watching Week 6 to see if the clash, if you can call it that, of the Denver Broncos and Jacksonville Jaguars would produce an historic point spread. And when the line opened Monday morning, it did not disappoint. Denver was a point favorite, which is by far the biggest spread since the concordium.us NFL database started logging scores and lines in The previous high for a closing spread was 24 points in when the New England Patriots eked out a win over Philadelphia.

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The NFL season is back in full swing. Here are picks against the spread for all 15 games on the Week 1 schedule. Below you’ll find picks against the spread for each game on the slate. So read on, and keep checking back throughout the season as we’ll be doing this on Friday each week. Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints.

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Check out all the current point spreads, picks, predictions and odds of the top ten best games for Week 8 of the NFL season. How exciting pro football has been there are just two unbeaten teams remaining, one from each conference, two franchises that still haven’t won any games at all, and there are a whole slew of teams that lost their franchise quarterbacks to injury or retirement that continue to win regardless while two teams enjoy their bye week so far looking playoff-bound, each.

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The Falcons are listed as five-point favorites against the Seahawks on the NFL point spreads with a point total at sportsbooks monitored by concordium.us for their NFC divisional round matchup on Saturday. The Falcons are straight-up and against the spread in their last six games in the playoffs, while the Seahawks are SU in their last eight playoff games as the underdog.

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Presentation on theme "Simple Linear Regression NFL Point Spreads " Presentation transcript 1 Simple Linear Regression NFL Point Spreads 2 Background Las Vegas Bookmakers provide a point spread for each game The spread reflects how many points the home team gets from the visiting team negative values mean the home team gives points to visitor If bookmakers are accurate, on average the actual difference should equal prediction Accurate.

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During the National Football League NFL season, Las Vegas oddsmakers establish a point spread on each game for betting purposes. For example, the Champion Green Bay Packers were established as point favorites over the Pittsburgh Steelers in the Super Bowl. The final scores of NFL games were compared against the final point spreads established by the oddsmakers in Chance Fall.

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The point spread didn’t come into play in a single game. In other words, favorites that won all covered the spread and underdogs that won all won outright.

It’s just something you don’t see very often. There were two notable upsets with the losing as double-digit favorites at home to the Falcons and the Raiders losing as point favorites at home to the Jags.

Week 16 NFL Lines Betting Advice Picks Against the Spread. The playoffs are almost set with all but four spots guaranteed.

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The point spread for Sunday suggested annihilation Vikings by 17 points. On the afternoon Dennis Green was added to the Ring of Honor in U.S. Bank Stadium, those odds got shot to hell. In the most unpredictable result since the NFL went to a game schedule in, the Bills bounced back from allowing a league-high 78 points through their first two games to pulverize the Vikings, Everybody’s going to doubt us, Bills safety Jordan Poyer said.

Everybody’s going to pick us to lose.

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NFL Week 13 picks Our staff experts predict the games against the spread. There are only five games remaining in this NFL season and there's a lot at stake for teams in the playoff race like the Ravens, Colts, Dolphins, Eagles, Redskins and Vikings.

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Free nfl point spreads for Android. 1 nfl point spreads products found. Find Your Ferry Tail with our Android App!Once.

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Note Forced fumbles are not an official NFL statistic and even unofficial numbers prior to are not available.[][]. Most fumbles forced, career 54 Robert Mathis,[] Most fumbles forced, season 10 Osi Umenyiora, [] Charles Tillman, []. Most fumbles forced, game 4 Charles Tillman,[].

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Point-to-point underwater acoustic communications using spread-spectrum passive phase conjugation. Point spread function and two-point resolution in - OSA Publishing. Choosing the winning teams given the point spread of National Football League NFL games. For example, if the point spread is set at. Figure 2 A partial listing of features in decreasing order of square of Pearson correlation coefficient.

Beating the NFL Football Point Spread.

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Free download nfl point spread database Files at Software Informer. Madden NFL 08 is a video game based on the National Football League. It comes with innovative rushing controls that give you a game-breaking ground attack featuring jukes, cutbacks, and the distinct running styles of your favorite backs.

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On this animated GIF nfl point lines Dimensions x px Download GIF spreads, nfl odds, odds, or share You can share gif nfl, lines, point, in twitter, facebook or instagram.

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NFL Playoffs NFC Championship, AFC Championship, Schedule, TV Times, Point Spreads. In the NFC championship game, it is the Rams vs the Saints. In the AFC championship game it is the Patriots vs the Chiefs.

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We identify inefficiency in the National Football League NFL gambling market indicative of sticky preferences by bettors. NFL teams that qualified for the playoffs in the prior season are favoured by too large a margin in the opening week of the following season. Findings suggest point spreads are too large in these situations, providing a profitable betting opportunity for those willing to systematically wager on underdogs.

Similar findings are not seen within the context of NFL or NBA regular seasons.

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